Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000018 0.000020 0.000023 0.000026 0.000029 0.000033 0.000038
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000018 0.000021 0.000026 0.000033 0.000041 0.000053
2025-03-02 0.000013 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027 0.000036 0.000049 0.000071
2025-03-09 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000027 0.000038 0.000056 0.000090
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000014 0.000018 0.000026 0.000040 0.000063 0.000110
2025-03-23 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027 0.000042 0.000070 0.000137
2025-03-30 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000027 0.000044 0.000079 0.000169
2025-04-06 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000045 0.000086 0.000205
2025-04-13 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000026 0.000047 0.000094 0.000244
2025-04-20 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000026 0.000048 0.000102 0.000298
2025-04-27 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000026 0.000050 0.000113 0.000366
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000051 0.000121 0.000440
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000054 0.000135 0.000565
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000027 0.000057 0.000155 0.000773
2025-05-25 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000027 0.000061 0.000177 0.001077
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000062 0.000194 0.001412
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000064 0.000210 0.001838
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000027 0.000066 0.000234 0.002592
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000027 0.000069 0.000261 0.003804
2025-06-29 0.000005 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000071 0.000284 0.005413
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000072 0.000306 0.007729
2025-07-13 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000026 0.000074 0.000336 0.012334
2025-07-20 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000027 0.000076 0.000373 0.021816